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đľ Finance: The $5 trillion fake news fluctuation
Stock markets run on the paranoia of the greedy.

What the media says, what it means, and why it matters.
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Hi Signposter. Back in 2014 when I was but a young man at business school attempting to make sense of my Finance module, I was guided in class by one of the jolliest finance professors Iâve ever had the privilege of meeting. A neatly dressed Polish gentleman in exclusively short-sleeved shirts and uncharacteristically spiky hair, with the warm smile of an old friend, his name was the stereotypical blind-fistful-of-scrabble-tiles-out-of-a-green-bag collection of consonants. He very kindly asked us to simply call him Alex.
Professor Alex was not only intelligent, approachable, and bitingly funny (on a lesson on negotiation, he introduced a photo of his family on holiday in Turkey in which his seven year-old son insisted on posing in a Spider-Man costume), he also had a very clear point-of-view on the stock markets; nobody knows how it works and anybody who tells you they do are at best liars and at worst frauds.
He told us a (apocryphal) story of how in the decades past, in an attempt to identify and isolate the variables that determine whether a stock price would go up or down, a university team of financial scientists devised a computer programme that could do just that. They fed the programme with years of data, and finally, after months of work, the programme spat out the five variables that it determined could predict how a single stock would behave. And in an outcome that cemented the fact that the entire exercise was a waste of everybodyâs time, the programme labelled the variables âVariable 1, Variable 2, Variable 3, Variable 4,âŚâ and so on.
âThis goes to showâ, Professor Alex continued, âthat movements on the stock market are determined purely by human beings, and human beings are irrational, unpredictable, and usually driven by fear.â
And Professor Alexâs wise words were once again proven right this week when a fake tweet on Twitter post on X led to a $2.4 trillion surge (and drop) on U.S. markets.
SIGNPOST UPDATES
On February 22nd, we analysed the content in a video shared by TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew thanking the U.S. president Donald Trump for pausing the ban on the app in the U.S. by 75 days. That pause has been extended by another 75 days. Read our original breakdown here.
THIS WEEK
đ¸ 15 words in = $2.5 trillion out

Hereâs what happened.
On Monday morning, White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett was asked live on Fox News whether President Donald Trump would initiate a 90-day pause (on all countries except China) on the tariffs heâs announced in the last 10 days. Hassett responded, âI think the president is going to decide what the president is going to decideâ.
This variation of the classic Glomar Response, also called NCND (neither confirm nor deny) somehow got turned into a headline on X that Trump was definitely pausing tariffs for 90 days (spoiler: this eventually happened, but only later in the week). First, an account by the name of âHammer Capitalâ (which has a blue verification badge) shared the false headline. Then, several other accounts on X picked it up and reshared it. Soon, the trading floor on the New York Stock Exchange reportedly erupted in cheers, and the markets began to rally after days of steep drops.
Following this, an account on X by the name of 'Walter Bloombergâ (not affiliated to that Bloomberg, but still with a blue verification badge) boosted the false headline to their over 850k followers, which led to first CNBC, and then Reuters, reporting on this fake news.
The U.S. government called it fake news (which again, spoiler, they ended up proving real later in the week). And in the less-than-an-hour that all this transpired, the markets first gained $2.4 trillion, before losing $2.5 trillion.
In this issue of Signpost, we look at how the news was reported outside the U.S. in major news media, including the Daily Mail from the U.K. (the highest circulation paid newspaper tabloid in the country) and The Economic Times from India (the worldâs second-most widely read English-language business newspaper after the Wall Street Journal).
HEADLINE NEWS
đŚ DAILY MAIL: How actual 'fake news' sent Wall Street on a $2.4 trillion rollercoaster in just 15 minutes [link]
đ˘ What Daily Mail is saying
The Daily Mail peppers itâs otherwise fairly straightforward coverage with some hyperbole. The language used in several sections could be construed to be sensationalist, but itâs hard to criticise when the story itself is so insane.
đ¸ Visuals

There are nine visuals in this story, and they fluctuate between peopleâs faces and falling line graphs. The first three visuals are bundled together. They show the smiling face of Kevin Hassett, the stern face of Donald Trump, and the mostly-red-slightly-green graph of the Dow Jones Industrial Average at closing on Monday.
Beginning with the first photo, Hassett looks happy, smiling broadly dressed in a grey suit with a lavender shirt and a black tie with yellow dots. Heâs wearing half-rimmed glasses, and looks to be outside. Donald Trump, in the next photo, also looks to be outside, and is wearing a black jacket with a white shirt and blue tie. His right hand is raised in a half wave, and his expression is stern.

The fourth visual is a screenshot of the post on X that reportedly kicked the story into overdrive. Itâs the post by Walter Bloomberg proclaiming in all caps that Trump is considering a pause on all tariffs for 90-days except for China. Following this is what looks like screenshots of 1 day market data from Google for the S&P 500 (showing a red graph) and the Nasdaq Composite (showing a green graph). Below this is a photo of two men in checkered shirts and what looks like the classic investment banker-bro sleeveless puffy jacket from Patagonia looking off to the left, while behind them the TV proclaims breaking news showing a falling New York Stock Exchange index. Both men look serious, worried, and have dark circles and receding hairlines.

Towards the end is a video embedded showing Trump sitting with Israelâs Benjamin Netanyahu, where Trump gesticulates with his arms speaking about resetting the trade relationship with China. And below that is a screenshot from Fox News showing âbusiness expertâ Maria Bartiromoâs face mid-sentence spliced next to an image showing the Dow Jones stock index falling.
âđ˝ Words
If you count â$2.4â as one word, the Daily Mailâs headline is still 16 words long! Without having to rehash the whole story, weâll look instead at the unique words and language used in the article.
The first line calls the market fluctuations a âjoyrideâ, laying blame at the feet of a ârogue tweetâ. This is again reiterated in the next sentence where the âmassive swingâ is described to have occurred during â15 chaotic minutesâ before the markets eventually âsnapped back to realityâ. The next line attempts to explain the perpetual state of terror that the markets are currently living in, by calling the event a âdizzying market U-turnâ which âexposed just how jittery Wall Street has becomeâ, where one minute âa hint of hope send stocks soaring,â while ârumors [âŚ] trigger a crash minutes laterâ.
After having laid the (arguably justifiable) sensationalist foundation to the story, the article hints at a deeper fear that the markets were anticipating âa repeat of 1987âs Black Mondayâ, a famous stock market crash where worldwide losses were estimated to be $1.71 trillion.
The article then mentions something I was unaware of, the VIX, which is âWall Streetâs fear gaugeâ, saying itâs at âits highest level since August 2024â.
The next few paragraphs are spent rehashing the sequence of events, with words like âtwistâ, âslumpedâ, and âwhipsawedâ. This is followed by quotes from finance experts essentially saying that the tariffs are a bad idea, before saying that the next phase of the American economy will not be a recession, but likely âstagflationâ, which is where âprices continue to soarâ as âeconomic growth slows and unemployment rises.â Which is, as per the economists mentioned in the article âworse than a recessionâ.
The article ends with a mention of Fox News, saying that they too âacknowledge the potential economic nightmareâ, along with the CEO of JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon.
â What it means
The article is a fairly faithful retelling of what happened on the day, along with some additional context and quotes from other experts. While this does fall into certain Daily Mail editorial tropes, including an overly long headline, and the liberal uses of emotional words, the reason that reading this article doesnât feel overtly over-the-top is likely because:
The story is sensational enough
Business and finance news is, at the end of the day, meant to be delivered seriously. And even the Daily Mail could not push the reporting of this news to their usual tabloid extremes.
â ď¸ Why it matters
The Daily Mail is considered to be a tabloid â sensationalist stories and sensationalist reporting are their bread and butter. They also are considered to be editorially conservative, if not right-wing, and have been criticised in the past for their unreliability and scare stories.
This article sits under the âYour Moneyâ section of the website. And there is also a mention in the article of terms like âstagflationâ and the fact that the markets are âa key component of Americansâ 401(K)s and other saving accounts.â The article is trying to make relevant a story about hyper-fluctuating markets to the average person. Which is why the throwaway references to savings accounts, the repeated mentions of inflation (and worse) in the worldâs largest economy, and the explanation of the word stagflation. It looks like the article is painting a worst case scenario of the situation, which isnât terribly different from what other media are reporting.
The mention of Fox News at the bottom validates this. Itâs almost as if the Daily Mail is saying âDonât believe us? Even Donald Trumpâs biggest cheerleaders say the same thing!â
Hard to say if they consider Fox News as peers or competition. Or perhaps both.
FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION
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đ THE ECONOMIC TIMES: How a 15-word fake Trump quote triggered a $5 trillion Wall Street whiplash in under half an hour [link]
đ˘ What The Economic Times is saying
The Economic Times provides less overall context of the ramifications of the violent market fluctuation, and instead focus solely on the who, what, where, how, and why of the story.
đ¸ Visuals

The article has four visuals, three of which are posts from X. The first image looks like a standard stock image of a red arrow plunging in front of a board of numbers that are all negative with red downward pointing arrowheads next to them. Itâs meant to indicate a market loss, but is the stock-iest of stock photos.
Following this is the screenshot of Walter Bloomberg as mentioned in the Daily Mail article. After this is an embedded X post from Hammer Capital, where he is responding to his own post from when he posted before Walter Bloomberg did. In this response post, Hammer Capital tries to distance himself from his initial post, saying that he posted what was already being reported from âtrading desksâ.

The last visual is a post on X from Phil Mattingly, who says that he didnât realise that Walter Bloomberg was not pulling headlines from a Bloomberg Terminal. He also says he is likely not the only one who thought as much.
âđ˝ Words
As if to outdo the Daily Mail, The Economic Timesâs headline is 19 words long. And while all these headline structures fly in the face of conventional journalism rules, the article does provide a brief synopsis at the top of the page, in case you are not interested in reading the whole article.
Should you choose to though, the article opens with a sensationalist sentence, saying that what happened on Wall Street was âmore like a scripted drama than real lifeâ. The article then quickly summarises the entire story, including in text the X post that ended up going viral, saying that that post âwas enough to send billions of dollars ricocheting through global marketsâ.
The article also explains that while the initial market ascent was of $2.4 trillion, the market descent after The White House denial was of $2.5 trillion, leading to the stocks remaining mostly flat later in the day, âhaving yo-yoed on nothing more than speculationâ. Another X post is included in text here, reflecting on the ridiculousness of the situation.
Hereâs where the article begins to dig. It asks the question in one of the subheadings, âWho or What is Walter Bloomberg?â, explaining that he isnât affiliated with Bloomberg News, but still has almost a million followers on X. The article also mentions that while the âpost in question was later deletedâ, it was already too late and had âgone viral across trading desks and financial broadcastsâ. But where did Walter get the news from?
Turns out that Walter Bloomberg pointed to Reuters and CNBC as his source, despite the CNBC anchors âseen reading out the headline live on air â seemingly after the tweet had gone viralâ. A CNBC anchor is also quoted as saying that they are checking on the source of the post.
Following this is the report of the denial from The White House, and Reuters, who picked up the story from CNBC, blame CNBC, before apologising for their error. CNBC also offers an apology for the fake news. Thatâs that then?
Not quite. The article mentions that further digging brought up the post from Hammer Capital, who had posted the same headline as Walter Bloomberg did but a full two minutes prior. The article continues that Hammer Capital said that this news was already circulating on trading desks prior to his posting.
So then, what really happened? Hereâs where the article attempts an explanation â the fake headline could have appeared from a âcheaper or experimental feed within a financial newswire serviceâ. Specifically, âa lower-tier or AI-generated summary of [economic adviser] Hassettâs Fox News appearance was misread, misinterpreted, or miswrittenâ. However, it turns out that âthe original information [âŚ] appears to have come from nowhere concreteâ.
Towards the end, the article raises the question of âthe cost and fragmentation of access to reliable financial informationâ, ending with the reflection that âsometimes even professional traders are flying blindâ. Not much hope for the rest of us then.
â What it means
The Economic Times is one of the flagship newspapers in India, highly respected and widely read. It is part of the greater The Times Group, which also owns The Times of India, and a clutch of TV, radio, and online assets. Being a business and finance focused newspaper, it skews a bit more conservative and right-leaning.
The article doesnât really explore the overall ramifications of the event and how it ties into the wider tariff story, nor does it contextualise the event based on a wider global economic recession. It simply seeks to find out what happened. And with this focus, it sheds a lot more detail on the story, further elucidating another aspect of the story not yet considered; the price of reliable information, especially when the markets are run on pure unadulterated hormones.
â ď¸ Why it matters
By shifting the focus on to the topic of âreliable financial informationâ, The Economic Times is playing not only to its strengths, but also to its audience. Being a business-focused publication, it is read overwhelmingly by people in the industry or with a casual interest in the space. The Economic Times are not here to make the average person think about their savings, or the oncoming recession, because their target audience already knows this. They instead are looking to focus on something their audience may not have considered while the markets were catching fire â the very real impact of fake news on trigger happy investors.
Perhaps this is their way of subtly asking their readers to pay to read The Economic Times?
WHATâS GOING ON?
đ Panic at the Stock Market
As of writing, the U.S. has paused all tariffs at 10% for all countries (except for Mexico and Canada who were blanketed with pre-existing tariffs) while increasing tariffs on China to 145% (China has retaliated with itâs own tariffs on U.S. goods at 125%). So while the U.S. and China seem to be playing a game of who-can-state-a-higher-number, the rest of the world has a 90-day reprieve where everybody is negotiating with the U.S. for more favourable trade deals.
For the rest of us consumers, it is terrifying to think that the world economy is in the hands of the kinds of people who are driven by ego and fear. And this story, regardless of where you read about it, reminds us all that perhaps the most powerful emotion in the world is greed.
Letâs also not forget that all the people posting with unearned authority and misplaced confidence on X were âblue badge verifiedâ. Which tells you all you need to know about the platformâs verification system, and (depressingly) Xâs influence on the financial markets.
Does this mean weâre in for a recession? Or perhaps stagflation? Or perhaps a new term economists will coin to sound smart while the rest of the world burns?
The truth, as always, is somewhere in between.
Read widely. Question thoroughly. Decide accordingly.
WEEKLY POLL
LAST WEEKâS POLL
Was this forwarded to you? Signpost is a free weekly newsletter analysing what the media says, what it means, and why it matters. Itâs free to subscribe. Alternatively, you can add me on LinkedIn.
